Evaluation of State-Wise Epidemiological Outbreak of COVID-19 Cases In India by Data Analysis Approach to Forecast the Coronavirus Disease Pandemic
Sumana Sikdar, Pradyut Sarkar, Sibnath Kayal, ,
Affiliations 1 : Research Scholar, Department of Computer Science & Engineering, MAKAUT. Kalyani, West Bengal, India - 741249. 2 : Department of Computer Science and Engineering, Maulana Abul Kalam Azad University of Technology (MAKAUT), Kalyani, West Bengal, India - 741249. 3 : Department of Metallurgical Engineering, O. P. Jindal University (OPJU), Raigarh, Chhattisgarh, India - 496109
Data analysis is very sophisticated tool in recent coronavirus pandemic to find the trend of spreading pattern for controlling the infection. In this perspective, predictive analytics can be useful for data analysis to forecast the coronavirus pandemic. This paper presents the infection pattern of coronavirus disease, termed as COVID-19, in top seven states in India. Prophet Algorithm forecasting model was used to analyze state-wise spreading pattern of coronavirus disease with respect to confirmed, deaths and cured cases. This predictive model can be very helpful to government and healthcare communities to combat this deadly virus by initiating suitable actions to control its spread.
Sumana Sikdar,Pradyut Sarkar,Sibnath Kayal."Evaluation of State-Wise Epidemiological Outbreak of COVID-19 Cases In India by Data Analysis Approach to Forecast the Coronavirus Disease Pandemic". International Journal of Computer Engineering In Research Trends (IJCERT) ,ISSN:2349-7084 ,Vol.8, Issue 03,pp.50-56, March - 2021, URL :https://ijcert.org/ems/ijcert_papers/V8I301.pdf,
1. C. Drosten et al., â€œIdentification of a novel coronavirus associated with severe acute respiratory syndromeâ€. N Engl J Med. 348, (2003)1967-1976.
3. Y, Chen, Q. Liu, D. Guo, â€œEmerging coronaviruses: genome structure, replication, and pathogenesisâ€. J Med Virol. 92, (2020) 418-423.
4. N. Zhu et al., â€œA novel coronavirus from patientswith pneumonia in China, 2019â€. N Engl J Med. 382, (2020) 727-733.
5. J. F. W. Chan et al., â€œA familial cluster of pneumonia associated with the 2019 novel coronavirus indicating person-to-person transmission: a study of a family clusterâ€. Lancet. 395, (2020) 514â€“523.
6. https://covid19.who.int/ [online dataaccessed on 5 September 2020 (2:45 PM CEST)].
7. https://www.mohfw.gov.in/[online data accessed on 5 September 2020 (8:00AM IST)].
8. S. K, Dey, M. M. Rahman, U. R. Siddiqi, A. Howlader, â€œAnalyzing the epidemiological outbreak of COVID-19: Avisual exploratory data analysis approachâ€. J Med Virol. 92, (2020) 632-638.
9. V. Volpert, M. Banerjee, S. Petrovskii, â€œOn a quarantine model of coronavirus infection and data analysisâ€. Math Model Nat Pheno. 1, (2020) 24.
10. Z. Liu, P. Magal, O. Seydi, G. Webb, â€œPredicting the cumulative number of cases for the COVID-19 epidemic in China from early dataâ€. Math Biosci Eng. 17, (2020) 3040-3051.
11. M. Chen, Y. Hao, K. Hwang, L. Wang, â€œDisease prediction by machine learning over big data from healthcare communitiesâ€. IEEE Access. 5, (2017) 8869-8879.
12. P. Kumar et al., â€œForecasting the dynamics of COVID-19 Pandemic in Top 15 countries in April 2020: ARIMA Model with Machine Learning Approach, medRxiv. (2020).
13. L. Jia, K. Li, Y. Jiang, X. Guo, T. Zhao, â€œPrediction and analysis of coronavirus diseaseâ€ arXiv:2003, (2019) 05447.
Authors are not required to pay any article-processing charges (APC) for their article to be published open access in Journal IJCERT. No charge is involved in any stage of the publication process, from administrating peer review to copy editing and hosting the final article on dedicated servers. This is free for all authors.
News & Events
Latest issue :Volume 10 Issue 1 Articles In press
☞ INVITING SUBMISSIONS FOR THE NEXT ISSUE :
☞ LAST DATE OF SUBMISSION : 31st March 2023
☞ SUBMISSION TO FIRST DECISION : In 7 Days
☞ FINAL DECISION : IN 3 WEEKS FROM THE DAY OF SUBMISSION
All the authors, conference coordinators, conveners, and guest editors kindly check their articles' originality before submitting them to IJCERT. If any material is found to be duplicate submission or sent to other journals when the content is in the process with IJCERT, fabricated data, cut and paste (plagiarized), at any stage of processing of material, IJCERT is bound to take the following actions.
1. Rejection of the article.
2. The author will be blocked for future communication with IJCERT if duplicate articles are submitted.
3. A letter regarding this will be posted to the Principal/Director of the Institution where the study was conducted.
4. A List of blacklisted authors will be shared among the Chief Editors of other prestigious Journals
We have been screening articles for plagiarism with a world-renowned tool: Turnitin However, it is only rejected if found plagiarized. This more stern action is being taken because of the illegal behavior of a handful of authors who have been involved in ethical misconduct. The Screening and making a decision on such articles costs colossal time and resources for the journal. It directly delays the process of genuine materials.